Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?

Colton Moore is unlikely to win the GA-14 special election according to market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Colton Moore winning the GA-14 special election, with a 99.65% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence in the NO prediction.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for a YES outcome at 3.35%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.