Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Czechia is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current probabilities.

The prediction market shows a low probability of 1.70% for Czechia winning the televote, while the AI model estimates a slightly higher chance at 6.2%. With a confidence rating of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 1319 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a notable edge of 4.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for Czechia.
• 2 The AI model suggests a slightly more optimistic view than the market.
• 3 Czechia's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates limited betting activity on this outcome.
• 5 The long time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.