Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Daniel Quintero is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Daniel Quintero winning the election, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, indicating a 96.95% probability of NO, suggesting that market participants do not foresee a viable path for Quintero's candidacy.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome for Quintero.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal belief in his candidacy viability.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, providing room for potential shifts.
• 5 Confidence level of 85/100 suggests strong conviction in the current predictions.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).