Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

David Lisnard has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

The market indicates a strong belief that David Lisnard will not win the 2027 French presidential election, with a 97.8% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus on his low viability as a candidate. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Lisnard's political standing appears weak based on current data.
• 3 The market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI predictions.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry indicates over 10000 hours for potential shifts.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).