Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Market shows low probability of Trump visiting Epstein's island.

The prediction market indicates a 6.5% chance of Donald Trump being confirmed to have visited Epstein's island, with a strong consensus leaning towards 'NO' at 93.5%. The AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a low likelihood of confirmation, while the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors 'NO' regarding Trump's visit.
• 2 Market probability is significantly lower than the AI's estimate.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment or information.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.