Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Trump will not post 0-19 Truth Social posts during the specified period.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Donald Trump will not make 0-19 posts on Truth Social from March 13 to March 20, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slight chance of 3% for a YES outcome. This suggests a strong consensus among participants that Trump will exceed the specified posting range.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief Trump will not post within the 0-19 range.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, showing minimal chance for YES.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates a solid but not absolute certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 With only 29 hours until expiry, time pressure may influence last-minute trading activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 13, 12:00 PM ET and March 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.