Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Trump will post no Truth Social content during the specified week.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, there is a clear consensus that Donald Trump will not post 0-19 times on Truth Social from March 17 to March 24, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, indicating a low probability for YES at 3%. The confidence level of 75/100 suggests a moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 97% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant misvaluation.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 81 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 17, 12:00 PM ET and March 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.