Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors Trump posting no Truth Social posts during the specified week.

With a market probability of 0% for Trump posting 0-19 Truth Social posts, there is a clear consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a strong belief that he will not post, suggesting a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in Trump posting no content.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates a strong belief in inactivity on Truth Social.
• 3 Historical behavior suggests low posting frequency during similar timeframes.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent market participation.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to long-term predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.