Market favors Trump posting 100-119 Truth Social posts, but NO side is undervalued.
The market shows a 63.5% probability for Trump posting between 100-119 times on Truth Social during the specified week. However, the NO side is considered undervalued by 5.5 points, indicating potential for a shift in sentiment. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 33 hours until expiry, the market remains fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 13, 12:00 PM ET and March 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.