Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Market shows a near even split on Trump's Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a close contest between the likelihood of Trump posting 100-119 times on Truth Social, with a slight edge towards 'NO'. The probabilities suggest uncertainty in Trump's posting behavior during this period, reflecting mixed sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current probabilities are closely matched, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Market confidence is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, with only 78 hours remaining.
• 4 No significant edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Recent trends in Trump's social media usage could impact future predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 17, 12:00 PM ET and March 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.