Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 100 Truth Social posts from Trump next week.

The prediction market indicates a 62% probability that Donald Trump will post fewer than 100 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a market edge of 0, the pricing suggests a balanced view among participants regarding his posting activity during this period.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards fewer posts.
• 2 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
• 3 No significant edge indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 47 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Past posting patterns could influence future predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.