Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Low probability for Trump to post 120-139 Truth Social posts in the specified week.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the NO outcome, with an 89.5% probability against the YES option. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a consensus that Trump is unlikely to reach the specified number of posts during the given timeframe.

• 1 Market probability favors NO outcome significantly at 89.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market, indicating consensus.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 10 hours remaining for market adjustments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.