Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 120 Truth Social posts by Trump in late March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards Donald Trump making fewer than 120 posts on Truth Social during the specified week, with a probability of 89.5% for the NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. This indicates a consensus that Trump's posting activity may be limited during this period.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors the NO outcome at 89.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 15%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 28 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.