Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 140 Truth Social posts by Trump during the specified week.

The prediction market indicates an 84% likelihood that Donald Trump will post fewer than 140 Truth Social posts between March 10 and March 17, 2026. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for more posts, but overall confidence in the market's NO verdict remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors fewer posts.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for more posts than the market.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 65 hours, adding urgency to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.