Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 160 Truth Social posts by Trump from March 10-17, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Donald Trump will post fewer than 160 Truth Social posts during the specified week, with a probability of 89.85% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a consensus that Trump's posting activity will be limited.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' but still favors 'NO'.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 76 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.