Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 160 Truth Social posts.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.45% for Trump posting fewer than 160 Truth Social posts, indicating a strong consensus against the higher range of posts. The Pulse AI probability aligns with this sentiment but suggests a slightly higher chance of more posts. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 27 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors fewer than 160 posts.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for more posts than the market.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure with only 27 hours remaining may influence last-minute betting.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 13, 12:00 PM ET and March 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.