Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 160 Truth Social posts next week.

The prediction market shows a significant bias towards Trump not posting 160-179 times on Truth Social, with a 99.75% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood for this outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors the 'NO' outcome at 99.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.75%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Only 7 hours remain until the market expires, adding time pressure.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.