Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 20 Truth Social posts next week.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Donald Trump will not post 20-39 times on Truth Social from March 20 to March 27, 2026. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which gives a low probability of 2% for the YES outcome, suggesting a strong consensus against the likelihood of such posting activity.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Trump posting 20-39 times.
• 2 The market probability of NO is at 100%, indicating strong confidence.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment, showing low YES probability.
• 4 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced with no significant mispricing.
• 5 With only 11 hours until expiry, time pressure may limit shifts in market sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.