Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Market overwhelmingly predicts Trump will not post 40-59 times during the specified week.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Donald Trump posting 40-59 times on Truth Social from March 20 to March 27, 2026, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating low expectations for his posting activity during this period.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly against high posting frequency.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 2%, indicating minimal expectation.
• 3 Market confidence is high at 80/100, suggesting reliable pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 11 hours remaining for market adjustments.
• 5 The edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.