Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 60 Truth Social posts next March.

The prediction market shows a dominant probability of 99.95% for Trump posting fewer than 60 posts, indicating a strong consensus against the higher range. The Pulse AI also reflects a significant lean towards the NO outcome, albeit with a slightly higher probability. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 74 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors Trump posting fewer than 60 posts.
• 2 Market probability shows a strong consensus against the higher posting range.
• 3 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating stability.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the market's assessment.
• 5 Time pressure of 74 hours may influence last-minute sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.