Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 60 Truth Social posts in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability for 'NO', indicating a strong consensus that Donald Trump will not post between 60 to 79 times on Truth Social during the specified period. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 97% probability for 'NO', suggesting that the market is aligned with the AI's assessment. With a confidence level of 75/100 and a time to expiry of 29 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Trump posting 60-79 times.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment of the situation.
• 3 A confidence level of 75/100 indicates a moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 With only 29 hours until expiry, time pressure may influence last-minute adjustments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 13, 12:00 PM ET and March 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.