Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Market predicts Trump will not post 60-79 times on Truth Social from March 24-31, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the NO outcome, with a probability of 94.95%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 9.55%, indicating some uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus against high posting frequency.
• 3 Historical posting patterns may influence future behavior predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current odds.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with 48 hours until the market's expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.