Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Market predicts Trump will not post 60-79 Truth Social posts during the specified period.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Donald Trump posting 60-79 times on Truth Social from March 3 to March 10, 2026, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The AI model aligns closely with this view, suggesting a low likelihood of such posting activity based on current trends and historical behavior.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' with 100% probability.
• 2 AI model predicts a low chance of Trump posting frequently during this period.
• 3 Historical posting patterns suggest Trump may not reach the specified post count.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.
• 5 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong conviction in the prediction.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.