Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Market favors Trump posting fewer than 80 Truth Social posts in March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Donald Trump will not post between 80 and 99 times on Truth Social from March 10 to March 17, 2026, with a NO probability of 94.25%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for both outcomes, suggesting a consensus that aligns closely with market sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors fewer posts from Trump.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 65 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Historical trends suggest Trump's posting frequency may not reach the specified range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.