Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Market favors fewer than 80 Truth Social posts from Trump during the specified week.

The prediction market indicates a 63% probability that Donald Trump will post fewer than 80 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting that participants do not expect a high volume of posts during this period.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards fewer posts.
• 2 The confidence level indicates moderate certainty among participants.
• 3 No edge suggests the market is balanced and fairly assessed.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, which may increase volatility in predictions.
• 5 Historical posting patterns could inform future expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 17, 12:00 PM ET and March 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.