Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 80 Truth Social posts next week.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability (0.05%) for Donald Trump posting 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026, suggesting that participants expect significantly fewer posts. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a consensus that the likelihood of reaching this posting range is minimal.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in the NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability slightly higher but still indicates low likelihood of 80-99 posts.
• 3 Current sentiment suggests minimal expected activity from Trump on Truth Social.
• 4 The edge of 2 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market's predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.