Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?

High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit Alaska in 2026.

The market shows an 86.5% probability for Trump's visit to Alaska, indicating strong sentiment in favor of this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 81%, suggesting some caution. The edge of -5.5 for the NO side indicates it may be undervalued, reflecting potential uncertainty.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors a visit by Trump to Alaska.
• 2 The market probability is significantly higher than the AI's assessment.
• 3 The NO side appears to be undervalued by 5.5 points.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes in circumstances.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.