Market predicts a 100% chance of Trump visiting Florida in 2026.
The market shows a strong consensus with a 100% probability for Trump's visit to Florida in 2026, supported by a high AI probability of 94.5%. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 5.5 points, indicating potential for reconsideration. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.