Will Donald Trump visit Iowa in 2026?

Market strongly favors Trump visiting Iowa in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability for Donald Trump visiting Iowa in 2026, reflecting strong consensus. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a more moderate expectation of 94.5%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side by 5.5 points. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty despite the strong YES sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side shows potential undervaluation, indicating room for reconsideration.
• 3 Pulse AI probability reflects a more cautious outlook compared to market consensus.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes in political dynamics.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.