Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?

Market favors a Trump visit to Louisiana in 2026 with a 62% probability.

The prediction market indicates a 62% likelihood of Donald Trump visiting Louisiana in 2026, suggesting a strong sentiment towards this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 55%, indicating some uncertainty. The edge of -7 for the NO side suggests it may be undervalued, potentially reflecting a divergence in market sentiment.

• 1 Current market probability for a visit is 62%, indicating strong support.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a more conservative estimate at 55% for the visit.
• 3 The NO side is undervalued by 7 points, suggesting potential for a shift.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100, indicating uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at over 7000 hours, allowing for potential developments.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.