Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?

High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit Pennsylvania in 2026.

The market shows an 84% probability for Trump's visit to Pennsylvania, indicating strong sentiment in favor of this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 77%, suggesting some uncertainty. The edge of -7 points for the NO side implies it may be undervalued, reflecting potential for shifts in sentiment as the expiry approaches.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The discrepancy between market and AI probabilities indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
• 3 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry of 7096 hours allows for significant developments to occur.
• 5 Political dynamics leading up to 2026 may impact Trump's travel plans.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.