Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?

The market suggests a low likelihood of Donald Trump visiting Washington in 2026.

With a market probability of 30% for a visit and a Pulse AI probability of 31.5%, the consensus leans towards a 'NO' outcome. The confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.

• 1 Current market probability favors a NO outcome at 70%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for YES at 31.5%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 55 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 6916 hours, allowing for potential changes.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.