Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Donna Miller has a 45% chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.

The market shows a slight preference against Donna Miller as the Democratic nominee for IL-02, with a 55% probability of 'NO'. The current confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty in the market's assessment.

• 1 Market probability indicates a competitive race for the nomination.
• 2 Current sentiment leans slightly against Miller's candidacy.
• 3 The edge of 0 suggests the market is well-balanced.
• 4 Confidence level reflects moderate uncertainty among participants.
• 5 No time pressure is indicated, allowing for further developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.