Will Doug Bennett be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Doug Bennett is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Doug Bennett as the Republican nominee, with a 99.7% probability of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of his nomination at 4.8%. Given the confidence level of 60/100 and the market's edge suggesting fair pricing, the current data points to a stable outlook against Bennett's candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' on Bennett's nomination.
• 2 Market probability and AI probability align closely, indicating consensus.
• 3 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 5 No significant liquidity concerns are evident in the current market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.