Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The market indicates a low probability of Dwayne Johnson winning the 2028 election.

The current market probability shows a strong consensus against Dwayne Johnson winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a 98.35% likelihood of a NO outcome. In contrast, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for a YES at 4.65%, indicating some divergence in sentiment. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome.
• 3 Market confidence is relatively high at 75/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant at over 23199 hours.
• 5 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.