Will Edgar Javier Rodriguez win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Rodriguez has a low chance of winning the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election.

The prediction market indicates a 0.35% probability of Edgar Javier Rodriguez winning the election, with a strong consensus against him at 99.65%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.85%, but overall confidence remains low, indicating skepticism about his candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Rodriguez's chances are perceived as very low by participants.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with a 4.5 edge.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time until the election may impact future sentiment and probabilities.

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).