Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Edna DeVries has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Edna DeVries winning, with a probability of only 0.30% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a 4.8% chance of victory, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 4.8%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is likely fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5535 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.