Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors that 'Epstein' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of 'Epstein' being mentioned at the Oscars, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI suggests a slight possibility of 1.5%, but overall confidence in the NO outcome remains high at 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against the mention of Epstein.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a minimal chance of 1.5% for a mention.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85 out of 100, suggesting strong market conviction.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 implies the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 No clear time pressure is indicated, as the time to expiry is unknown.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

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