Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Eric Trump has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Eric Trump winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with a 99.35% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI probability also reflects skepticism, estimating a 96.35% chance of him not securing the nomination, indicating that market sentiment is aligned with AI predictions.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.35%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.65%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests strong conviction in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.