Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

FDP is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt elections.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the FDP winning the most seats, with a probability of only 0.60% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 5.1% for the FDP's success, indicating a significant skepticism about their electoral prospects.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 FDP's historical performance in elections may influence perceptions.
• 3 Market probability suggests a well-established consensus.
• 4 Time until the election allows for potential shifts in public opinion.
• 5 Liquidity in the market is relatively stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).