Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Finland has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote, currently at 14%.

The prediction market indicates an 86% likelihood that Finland will not win the televote for Eurovision 2026, with a market probability of 14% for a win. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 18.5%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100, indicating uncertainty in the market's assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Finland.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time until the event is significant, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Historical performance of Finland in Eurovision may influence future odds.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.