Will Félix Oros win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Félix Oros has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Félix Oros winning the upcoming mayoral election, with a market probability of only 0.50% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a mere 5% probability to his victory. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 180 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming sentiment against Oros winning.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion.
• 5 Current market pricing suggests stability in Oros's low chances.

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).