Will Francisco Javier Bellott win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Francisco Javier Bellott is unlikely to win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Francisco Javier Bellott winning, with a 99.7% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, estimating a 95.2% chance of him not winning. Given the current probabilities, the market appears to be fairly priced with a moderate confidence level.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome for Bellott.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates low confidence in Bellott's chances.
• 3 Current sentiment suggests minimal support for Bellott's candidacy.
• 4 Time until election is limited, impacting potential changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).