Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

The market strongly favors George Clooney not winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.25% chance that George Clooney will not win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a low 0.75% chance of a yes outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 96.25% probability against his nomination. Given the high confidence level of 80/100 and the edge of 3, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Clooney's political involvement remains minimal at this time.
• 3 Historical trends suggest celebrity candidates face significant challenges.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential changes in political landscape.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.