Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Germany has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.

The prediction market indicates a 2.65% probability of Germany winning the televote for Eurovision 2026, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance at 7.15%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Germany.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Germany's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, indicating consistent trading activity.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.