Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Greece has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote at 22%.

The current market probability indicates a 22% chance for Greece to win the televote, suggesting skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI aligns with this sentiment, reflecting a consensus that Greece is unlikely to secure a victory. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100, the market appears to be fairly priced with no significant edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO at 78%.
• 2 Greece's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 3 The market shows no edge, indicating fair pricing at current probabilities.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty in the prediction.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.