The market strongly favors the Green Alliance not winning the third most seats in 2026.
With a market probability of 0.05% for a YES outcome, the sentiment is overwhelmingly against the Green Alliance securing the third most seats. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05%, indicating a consensus that the party is unlikely to perform well in this election.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results