Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Market shows low probability for Whitmer winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Gretchen Whitmer will not secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a market probability of 98.6% for 'NO.' Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 4.4% for 'YES,' the consensus remains that her chances are minimal at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 98.6%.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 4.4%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 75 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive at 22869 hours, allowing for potential changes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.