Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Han Dong-hoon has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that Han Dong-hoon will not win the election, with a 99.7% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 96.7% NO probability, suggesting a consensus on his low chances. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming sentiment against Han Dong-hoon winning.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal support for his candidacy.
• 3 The confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the market's assessment.
• 4 Time until the election may allow for shifts in public perception.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced based on current data and sentiment.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.