Will Holly McCormack win the GA-14 special election?

Holly McCormack is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market indicates a 0.05% probability of Holly McCormack winning, with a strong consensus against her candidacy. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability of 3.05%, but overall, both sources indicate a low likelihood of victory.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome for McCormack.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher but still indicates low chances.
• 3 The edge score suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.